Welcome to the memecoin market: where a token can lose almost all its value and somebody still calls it “building in silence.” The developers may be silent for many reasons. Your job is to investigate, not to write their comeback story for them.
A Bitquery investigation of 11.5 million newly traded Solana tokens from 1 November 2025 to 7 October 2026 found that 79% of Pump.fun tokens in its sample never traded again after launch day. Only about 1 in 58 graduated to a full trading pool.
Launch-day trading
79% · no trades after launch day in the studied Pump.fun sample
Source: Bitquery investigation, verified 10 October 2026. The graphic represents only the reported sample.
Liquidity: the emergency exit
Price and market capitalization are not the same as executable value. Thin pools can make even modest swaps move a price sharply. Check the actual pool, its depth and the price impact of an exit-sized trade. A separate Bitquery study of more than one million Meteora DAMM v2 pools opened between October 2025 and July 2026 reported that 89% were eventually left with less than 1% of their SOL balance; 79% were drained within an hour. Those findings apply to that studied pool population, not every token or pool.
Volume: a loud room is not a crowd of buyers
Volume alone does not prove independent demand. Compare it with liquidity, transaction timing, buy/sell activity and wallet diversity. Automated or coordinated activity can make a market look busier than it is. A spike is a clue to investigate, not a promise.
Five checks before you buy
- Verify the full mint address using a trusted source; names and tickers are easy to copy.
- Inspect pool liquidity and estimate price impact for the trade you might need to exit.
- Review holder concentration and relevant authorities; account for pools, exchanges and related wallets.
- Compare volume, buys, sells and wallet activity across several time windows.
- Never share a seed phrase or sign a transaction you do not understand.
The scam industry has a marketing department
Chainalysis estimated in January 2026 that crypto scams and fraud received at least $14 billion on-chain in 2025, with the estimate potentially exceeding $17 billion as more illicit addresses are identified. A polished website, AI-generated founder portrait or loud community is not proof of legitimacy.
Final autopsy
A failed project is not automatically a scam, and a chart is not evidence of fraud by itself. Check the evidence, state what remains uncertain, and never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Sources and further investigation
- Bitquery — Pump.fun: 1 in 58 Coins Graduate, 79% Die After Day One
- Bitquery — A Million Meteora Pools, Most Emptied Within the Hour
- Chainalysis — 2026 Crypto Crime Report: Scams
- Official Solana documentation · Solana Explorer · DexScreener Solana pairs
Continue your investigation
Use the Survivor Field Manual checklist and wallet security dossier before connecting a wallet or signing anything.
Survivor Field Manual
Practical token research guide.
Wallet Security Dossier
Check before connecting or signing.